The battle for the Senate in 2020 is not over yet, with the Republican majority in the chamber still at stake in Georgia’s January 5 twin-senate Senate elections.
But nonetheless, the early steps of the 2022 Senate races are already underway, with Republicans facing a challenging map for a second straight cycle.
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Senator Rick Scott of Florida, the incumbent chairman of the National Republican Senators Committee (NRSC), acknowledges the dangers of the next two years, but optimistically tells Fox News that “I think we have a good opportunity not only to defend but to get our attention. “
Democrats looked forward to the 2020 cycle, with the GOP defending 23 of the 35 seats. Democratic challengers dramatically surpass Republican officials, but their hopes for a blue wave and a solid majority in chambers have never materialized. Democrats have a 50/50 Senate at best, with Vice President Kamala Harris elected as a tie vote if they take both GOP seats during Georgia’s run. Republicans have, at best, a 52-48 majority, one seat less than the 53-47 margin held in the 2020 tournaments.
Like this cycle, Republicans are starting to defend themselves again at the 2022 exhibitions.
Senator Rick Scott, R-Fla. Kelly Loeffler Speaks at the Campaign Meeting of Republican Candidates for the U.S. Senate and Senator David Perdue on Friday, November 13, 2020, in Cumming, Ga. (AP Photo / Brynn Anderson)
Under the current situation, the GOP will defend at least 20 of the 34 seats in two years, which can be grabbed. But if Georgia’s Senate Kelly Loeffler – a Republican who holds the last two years of former Senator Johnny Isakson’s term – is elected in the election, maths will change slightly 21 Republicans and 13 Democrats will take their seats in the mid-2022s.
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The difficult map is not the only obstacle facing Republicans. Due to retirement, open spaces are also being defended in two key battlefield states. Pennsylvania’s Pat Toomey sensor and North Carolina’s Richard Burr are not running for re-election.
It’s also a possible headache in Iowa, where 87-year-old GOP senator Chuck Grassley remains a mother for the time being to run for an eighth six-year term in the Senate.
Democrats will be tough on the Wisconsin Ron Johnson Senate in a state where President-elect Joe Biden has narrowly changed from red to blue in this month’s presidential election. Johnson, a strong supporter of President Trump, has yet to say whether he will run for a third term in the re-election. Nonetheless, Democratic Democrat Tom Nelson, the county executive and the majority leader of the former parliament, has already announced his candidacy.
And Florida Rubio, a GOP senator who has indicated he is running for a third term, could also face a potentially difficult re-election on the country’s largest traditional battlefield.
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While the map looks good for Democrats again in 2022, Biden will be in the White House, and the president’s party will usually lose his seats in Congress in their first mid-term election.
“The president’s party tends to lose its mandate,” remarked Jessica Taylor, who describes and analyzes the Senate race as a leading party politically disadvantaged member of the Cook report. But he suggested that “this could be alleviated somewhat, a generally favorable map for Democrats”.
Scott, who will take over the Senate GOP re-election branch in January, admitted, “I have to recruit someone in Pennsylvania and North Carolina for Richard Burr and Pat Toomey, so it’s going to be work.”
But he also pointed to potential recruitment opportunities in Arizona, Nevada and New Hampshire. Catherine Cortez Mastro is preparing to re-elect first-term senator in Nevada, which remains a key impetus. Biden narrowly defeated Trump in Nevada this month after Trump was made a little wider in the state four years ago by Hillary Clinton.
In Arizona, Republicans are targeting Democrat Mark Kelly, who will serve the last two years of late Senator John McCain’s term after winning this month’s special election. And Republicans also see Maggie Hassan’s new Hampshire Senate as potentially vulnerable, especially if Chris Sununu, the GOP’s popular governor, decides to run in the Senate in 2022.
Looking at Arizona, Nevada and New Hampshire, Scott told Fox News that “clearly these are the areas we have a chance to pick up”.
But an optimist Scott considered the possibility of a wider map.
“If you buy states like Illinois and Connecticut, they’re really roaring and angry at their government,” he said. “We have shots across the country if we have good candidates and we raise our money and run good campaigns.”
Their democratic challengers dramatically overcame and dropped out of GOP incumbents for much of the 2020 cycle, while the late cash infusion helped them in the final weeks before the election.
One well-known Republican Scott is looking to help raise money on behalf of GOP senators and candidates in the 2022 cycle.
“He was a prolific fundraiser,” said Scott Trump, who strongly signaled that he would remain very important in GOP policy after he left the White House in January. Trump created a lead PAC earlier this month that will allow him to raise and spend money on behalf of other Republicans. He’s already loading the PAC’s cashier quickly.
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And Scott predicted that “I think there are places where he will continue to be very popular and helpful.”
