In LA County, a wider home stay is likely to be expected


Los Angeles County officials said they hope a new restriction could help slow the unprecedented jump in COVID-19 cases, but warned that a tighter stay at home will be needed if cases continue to rise.

Barbara Ferrer, LA county health director, said on Saturday that officials hope the tighter restrictions will be enough to slow the spread of the coronavirus without returning to the stricter home stay introduced in March.

He said the county “is now in a different place than it was in March and April, when we didn’t yet know about masking and distance.

“Now that we’re done, it offers us a slightly different path,” he said. “But I’ll be honest: It only offers a different way forward if everyone does.”

According to him, the danger of releasing more people is that efforts to slow the spread will only work if people choose to follow safety precautions. If they don’t, the county may find its way back to its early spring location.

“If that doesn’t work and we find ourselves in a worse place than we are in two or three weeks, we need to go back and look at what other options we have because we can’t continue to risk being overwhelmed by the health care system. Ferrer said. “I don’t think there’s a disagreement about that – it’s a disaster that we must avoid at all costs.”

His comments came a day after the county issued a new COVID-19 epidemic order banning most rallies and deterring the masses. This is the latest in a series of desperate steps to slow down coronavirus infection. Gatherings – in addition to outdoor church services and outdoor political protests – are banned from Monday to three weeks. Retail stores will remain open, albeit with more limited capacity.

Earlier this week, the county suspended outdoor restaurant meals.

The new order comes at a time when LA County is facing its worst pandemic crisis.

Both across the country and in LA County, the average number of cases of coronavirus per day has quadrupled in recent weeks, and hospital care has tripled. COVID-19 daily deaths are also rising significantly – tripling in LA County and doubling across the state in recent weeks.

Southern California has one of the highest average daily coronavirus rates in the region. In the seven days before Thanksgiving, Southern California counties reported an average of 40 cases of coronavirus per day per 100,000 residents, the highest in a pandemic to date. This is more than twice as much as in the Bay Area, where an average of 17 cases of coronavirus per day per 100,000 inhabitants have been reported.

The rate of cases is rising in such a dramatic way that state officials are warning that hospital beds could run out in a matter of weeks. If the capacity of the staff of the intensive care units exceeds the number, the mortality rate will surely increase.

An influential model Under the leadership of the University of Washington Institute for Health Measurement and Evaluation, the number of cumulative deaths in California could double by the spring — from the current more than 19,000 to more than 37,000 March 1 — without significant changes in current policies or behaviors.

COVID-19 hospitalizations have tripled in the last month in California and Los Angeles County. On Friday, nationwide COVID-19 hospital care was nearly 7,000, dangerously close to the 7170 peak in July. A month ago, on October 28, about 2,400 COVID-19 patients were hospitalized in the state.

In LA county, more than two thousand people were hospitalized on Friday using COVID-19, according to state data released Saturday. A month ago, that number was 750. LA County is approaching the 2232 COVID-19 hospital peak seen in July.