Members of the house are already facing the redrawn shredding block


Rodney Davis (R-Ill.), Cheri Bustos (D-Ill.) And Lauren Underwood (D-Ill.)

Democrats can once again take full control of the Illinois congressional map – and, if possible, want to take out the GOP Representative Rodney Davis. In 2011, the map makers had to defend then-Democratic MP Jerry Costello, who held a place south of Davis that has since moved away from the party. If the Democrats in East St. Part of Louis will be handed over to Davis, then it could be in a much more competitive area.

But Democrats need to be careful: Illinois is well on its way to throwing away a constituency, with Cheri Bustos and Lauren Underwood MPs, who barely survived their 2020 re-election, may struggle to find enough Democrat-friendly voters in northern Illinois to ensure them. both.

Michelle Fischbach (R-Minn.) And Angie Craig (D-Minn.) Elected Representative.

It is unclear whether Minnesota will lose one of its eight seats at the next census. But since Democrats failed to reclaim the state senate owned by the GOP on election day, the courts are likely to play a role as well, adding further unpredictability.

If Minnesota loses its seat, Republican Michelle Fischbach’s chosen Western District could be split between the three surrounding places held by Republican MPs Jim Hagedorn, Pete Stauber and Tom Emmer. Then Democrats Dean Phillips and Angie Craig must avoid receiving too many unfriendly voters outside the twin suburbs. Craig is probably in a more difficult place because his meeting is already rural and Republican inclined like Phillips ”.

Lucy McBath (D-Ga.) And Carolyn Bourdeaux (D-Ga) elected

Georgia delegation is likely Keeping at 14 districts. But Republicans, who have full control of the process, want to solve the ticking time bomb north of Atlanta. Rapid diversification and Trump-era destruction in the suburbs deprived Republicans of two places in the house that were once GOP bastions and can safely bank with them and try to reclaim at least one district.

There are several ways to do this. Creating a secure democratic seat in the grassland of elected Carolyn Bourdeaux, in the fast-growing county of Gwinnett, would leave MP Lucy McBath without a natural base and leave him with an interesting history with an attractive democracy. But McBath can still apply for this place – and there may be no way to keep one area of ​​the area red for an entire decade, as Republicans discovered during the Trump administration, because demographic and voting trends there are so rapid. they are moving towards the Democrats.