The reminder: Trump threatens the GOP’s chances in Georgia

President TrumpDonald TrumpWarnock defeats Loeffler in Senate Georgia The Memo: Georgian voters strike Trump. Eric Trump warns of primary challenges for Republicans not protesting election resultsHis flammable words and actions could hurt his party’s chances of retaining Senate control on Tuesday.

It was sen. David PerdueDavid Perdue: The reminder: Georgian voters blow Trump Warnock’s victory and Democrats come under Senate majority (R-Ga.) And Sen. Kelly LoefflerKelly LoefflerWarnock defeats Loeffler in the course of the Geographic Senate. The reminder: Georgian voters struck Trump Warnock’s victory. (R-Ga.) Democratic challengers are involved in an extremely close battle against Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock. Voting was rare and mostly shows both races within error.

The key question is whether the kind of anti-Trump vote that made the president the first Republican to lose Georgia since 1992 will move to Senate races – or the state will return to its GOP-based default.

Trump performed particularly poorly in suburban areas around Atlanta, such as Cobb County and Gwinnett County. The results there will be critical in Tuesday’s races.

“Can they come back for Republicans because they’re fine with other Republicans who aren’t Trump? Or are they even more turned off for Trump now? asked Alan Abramowitz, a professor of political science at Emory University, referring to centrist suburban voters. “I can’t believe these latest clowns will help him.”

On Sunday, he revealed Trump’s phone call to Georgian Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger (R), in which he blocked Raffensperger from finding enough votes to win, gave the Democrats further motivation.

Some Republicans are concerned that Trump’s constant accusations that Georgia’s presidential election was marred could also adversely affect his supporters ’participation.

Republican strategist Ryan Williams said Trump “blocked” Perdue and Loeffler’s chances.

Williams noted that despite Trump’s presidential loss, Georgia remains a “slightly reddish” state where, among other things, Republicans would be supported.

“Trump lost his presidential level for the first time since the early 1990s because he alienated suburban, Republican-minded voters and motivated democratic voters to appear in larger numbers than usual,” Williams said. “Trump’s clowns over the past few weeks have ensured that democratic voters remain committed and outraged, and are more likely to appear on election day.”

In particular, Loeffler cut close to Trump, including his efforts to hold a presidential election.

According to some observers in the state, Perdue tried to maintain a certain distance from the president. Loeffler is expected to attend Trump’s state pre-election demonstration in the state Monday night. Perdue is likely to stay away because he will be quarantined after being exposed to someone in COVID-19.

“The runoff should focus on Warnock and Ossoff’s liberal record,” Williams said. “Instead, Donald Trump sought to decouple the electorate from the electorate and overthrow the election result. This is not a good scenario for current Republican senators. ”

The national stake is clear. President-elect Joe BidenJoe Biden: The reminder: Georgian voters struck Trump Warnock’s victory. Democrats will be available to the majority of the Senate. Eric Trump warns of primary challenges for Republicans who do not object to election results he previously attended his own state assembly in the state on Monday. Republicans need only occupy one of two seats under the control of the Senate. But if the Democrats lose both, the upper chamber will be split 50-50. Elected Vice President Kamala HarrisKamala Harris: The reminder: Georgian voters blow Trump Warnock’s victory and Democrats come under Senate majority will hold a potentially tie vote in the Senate in this scenario as he and Biden are inaugurated on January 20th.

Huge sums have fled into Georgia. By mid-December, according to Open Secrets, both Ossoff and Warnock had raised more than $ 120 million, while Loeffler and Perdue had both raised about $ 90 million.

Democrats, reinforced by Biden’s November victory and a record number of early votes in the Senate national team, believe they have a real chance – in part because Trump’s behavior continues to ignite their voters despite not voting in Tuesday.

“Every time this president or one of the Republican senators who goes to the polls says or does anything that signals to voters,‘ We don’t want to respect your vote, ’which absolutely helps our people,” said Democratic strategist Abigail Collazo. , who is also a consultant for the New Georgia Project. “It makes people think,‘ We need to be even louder with our voices. “It definitely encourages participation.”

But Collazo said that although he thought the election seemed “very promising” to the party, he stressed that “there is no Democrat in the state who would allow himself to sit back and rest now”.

Several sources reporting to The Hill have argued that while tournaments are actually a toss, it seems likely that the two seats could go to one party instead of splitting it 1-1.

Two increasingly mentioned factors were the increasingly nationalized nature of the runoff and the long shadow cast by Trump.

Of course, it is entirely possible for the GOP to retain both seats. The party’s performance in the November Senate and House elections was better than many polls and experts had predicted. And Trump remains a wild card.

“With the president, we never know exactly how people will react,” political analyst Atiba Madyun said.

Madyun, who once became a registered Republican and became independent, helped raise money for Warnock in these elections. He warned Trump “there is a way to spark people’s emotions”.

Nevertheless, even independent experts like Abramowitz, a professor at Emory, have argued that there is a real chance Trump will insult his own party.

“If you attack the Georgian electoral apparatus as corrupt and claim to have been robbed, the message to Republican voters is quite ambiguous as to whether it is worth voting for,” he said.

The meaning of Memo Niall Stanage.