The size of the declining majority of House Democrats depends on the nail-running races


Democrats in the House may still have a majority over next year’s GOP, but their advantage is dwindling as Republicans gain a negligible lead in the final races of the season, currently under 400 votes.

The drama surrounding home races has been largely overshadowed by President Donald Trump’s relentless attack on the country’s electoral system, including his efforts to question the integrity of the election and his campaign’s unsuccessful series of lawsuits to challenge the results.

Despite President-elect Joe Biden opening the White House, Republicans have cut House President Nancy Pelosi’s 35-strong majority to just 12. Due to two more outstanding races in Iowa and New York and the run in Louisiana, current ABC News forecasts have resulted in the disbandment of the partisans. At 222-210 – so the Democrats remained one of the smallest major in two decades.

Republicans reaped another victory Monday night when Christy Smith, a Democrat in the California Democratic Assembly, gave a concession to Republican Mike Garcia in the 25th Congressional District – in addition to one of the most recent house races left in the Iowa and New York races. .

The difference separating the two rivals was 333 votes, which was much closer to the separation in May earlier this year, when Garcia first won the mandate previously held as Katie Hill Democratic Representative.

“Although all my votes are humbled, the results show that our district is deeply divided,” Smith said in a statement.

Smith’s concession ends a controversial campaign in which both candidates take turns taking the lead in nearly four weeks since election day.

Garcia, a former Navy fighter pilot, has now earned the place for a two-year term – reliably turning red that voters in the long-held GOP district covering northern Los Angeles County supported Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Hill in 2018.

In the outstanding Iowa and New York races, the margins are razor-thin, while Louisiana’s 5th Congressional District on December 5 will lead to a runoff between two Republicans, Luke Letlow and Lance Harris, instead of outgoing GOP representative Ralph. Abraham.

Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks leads by six votes at the end of the Oowa recount. The state election council confirmed the results on Monday after all 24 counties in the 2nd congressional district completed the recount.

Official fans overtook Miller-Meeks by one of the closest differences in history, 196 964-196 958 from the Democratic Party of Rita Hart.

“This contest confirms that each vote can make a difference,” Secretary of State Paul Pate said in a statement announcing the results.

Throughout the country’s history, there have been seven competitions where candidates have been separated by only one vote. The Iowa race is the closest race to the house since 1984, when Frank McCloskey, a Democrat, took advantage in Indiana’s 8th Congressional District, after several counts by just four votes over Republican Rick McIntyre.

But the race for the southeastern Iowa District is far from over.

Hart can either let in the competition or further challenge the election in the courts. According to the Des Moines record, you must take legal action within two days of Monday’s certification.

His campaign manager, Zach Meunier, recommended after the certification that they continue the challenge.

“In the coming days, we will outline our next steps in this process to ensure that all of Iowans’ voices are heard, ”he said.

If Miller-Meeks is declared the winner, Dave Loebsack will replace Democrat, who will retire after seven terms, and his victory would further reduce the majority of Democrats in the House.

The party could also lose its seat in New York State, where current Democrat Anthony Brindisi is 12 votes behind his Republican challenger, Claudia Tenney, in a messy post-election.

The first official runners from all eight counties in the district were filed with a state Supreme Court judge on Monday. The New York State certification deadline is December 7, one day before the “safe harbor” date. This is the deadline for states to verify the results in order to isolate their electoral votes from the challenges when they are presented to Congress.

As the race goes through the courts, it can take months for this race to be resolved outside of the Iowa race.

These nail-bits are expected to have a significant impact on the effectiveness of Democrats over the next two years, and leadership is facing an increasingly tough path to implement their agenda at the next Congress.

“The margins are infinitesimally small, but they can make a huge difference in the way the House works,” Dave Wasserman, editor of Cook’s policy report, wrote on Monday before Smith agreed to California. “These two races are likely to decide whether Democrats have a 222 or 224 majority and whether House Speaker Nancy Pelosi can afford four, five or six mistakes and still pass the legislation.”

ABC News John Parkinson contributed to the report.