Venezuelan political president Donald Trump, who has supported the replacement and replacement of the country’s dictator, is ready to lose his position of power – making it difficult for him to assert his leadership demand and making a stake at the heart of one of the Trump administration’s signatory foreign policies.
In January 2019, Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaidó declared himself the country’s legitimate president. He claimed that President Nicolás Maduro, who had been in power for seven years, had committed the 2018 presidential election that held him accountable, and as a result, Guaidó, as head of Parliament, was the legitimate interim president of the interim president of Parliament. according to its constitution.
The United States and more than 50 countries have supported Guaido’s claim, and have been working to oust Maduro once and for all. They sanctioned politicians and businesses, sent vital food and medical aid, and helped sustain a global campaign to support Guaido and increase its popularity.
But despite the two-year push, Guaido remained in Parliament and Maduro remained in the president’s mansion. Come on Sunday, but probably only Maduro will stay where he is.
Venezuelans will go to the polls on Sunday to vote in the country’s parliamentary elections, where from January 5, the 277 people who will represent them will be determined.
But Guaido and his opposition faction are boycotting the polls because they say the election was rigged.
They have a strong argument, especially because they are not being watched by international observers from the European Union and the United Nations. In addition, government security forces have prevented the opposition from entering the Legislative Palace since January to attend parliamentary sessions – just as the board re-elected Guaido as its leader. Since then, Guaidó and his allies have held their own parallel parliamentary sessions outside the institution.
Even if they are right – and polls show that many Venezuelans agree with their statement – this still means that Guaido and his faction are likely to lose their seats in the next National Assembly. This would deal a huge blow to the opposition and yield a significant victory for Maduro.
“The future of Guaido’s project looks bleak,” said David Smilde, a Venezuelan expert on the Latin American office’s human rights team in Washington. “There is less international consensus on whether Guaido turned to the interim presidency after 5 January.
“It will probably retain support, but it will be less robust, and the whole Venezuelan issue will be put to a standstill in the United States and the EU,” he continued. “Over the next two months, Guaido’s situation is likely to deteriorate, which in 2021 will slowly degrade his power and slowly consolidate for Maduro.”
A vote in Parliament could solidify Maduro’s strangulation in Venezuela
Sunday’s expected failed elections represent a huge loss to the rest of Venezuela’s democracy and virtually end Maduro’s authoritarian takeover over the economically devastated nation.
The December 2015 vote in Parliament was seen as the country’s legal legal election. Since then, Maduro has put more and more people in the country’s government under his boots and is now standing to win his last prize. With Venezuela’s legislature full of the dictator’s friends, Maduro wants to surrender the entire government to his will.
Guaido will still be able to cut back. President-elect Joe Biden and leaders of other countries have vowed to support his cause, and he controls much of the country’s financial assets, including the U.S. accounts of the Central Bank of Venezuela, the oil company Citgo, and gold in the Bank of England.
According to experts, the problem is that this influence is external rather than internal. Once he officially withdraws from Parliament, Guaido and his allies will not be able to stop the treaties and agreements that Maduro wants to sign with world powers like China and Russia for resource extraction, or laws that Maduro wants to pass that could stifle civil society and pro-democracy groups, experts say.
Maduro then found a way to secure his rule in recent years. And after Sunday, he will almost certainly have a place on the throne.