The U.S. government has expired to approve a second corona virus clearance package, Congress will be adjourned until next week, and the Biden government will focus on taking office in January.
So where do you leave Americans excitedly waiting for another federal incentive check – the cash payments originally distributed this spring? For now, the comfort is stuck.
Sure, lawmakers could still pass a reduced incentive bill when they return to Washington on Nov. 30, but most economists believe it is unlikely to comply with the $ 2,200 billion coronavirus aid, relief and economic security (CARES) law , which signed the law in March and provided a $ 1,200 check to most Americans.
Democrats and Republicanson several key issues, such as providing hundreds of billions in funding to states and cities affected by declining tax revenues amid the coronavirus epidemic.
Even if Congress passes the aid bill early next month, it could take weeks for the IRS to electronically deposit funds into people’s bank accounts and send out even fewer millions of paper checks. It took a month or three for most Americans to get their so-called economic impact pay, after the bill was signed in the spring.
This would leave many households and businesses pendingwith year-end and national eviction moratoriums ending in the new year. Number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits one after another a sign that the economic recovery is losing momentum.
Millions of Americans are “heading for a bleak winter when safety nets expire,” said Nancy Vanden Houten, chief economist at Oxford Economics. “We are pessimistic about the possibility of any significant short-term fiscal easing and fear that many social safety nets may expire, affecting millions of households across the country.”
Instead of trying to break the months-long stalemate in funding incentives, experts believe Congress is more likely to focus on passing legislation to fund the federal government after Dec. 11, preventing the government from stalling.
Peter Hooper and Matthew Luzzetti, an economist at Deutsche Bank, believe Congress could overturn a lean stimulus package early next year. Janet Yellen, who was reportedly elected finance minister by Joe Biden, is likely to demand a swift bill, economists told investors this week.
Nevertheless, Yellen would not take on the role until the Biden administration took office on January 20 and would also require the approval of a politically divided Senate.
And a spokesman for President-elect Joe Biden’s retaliatory group withdrew a report that Mr Biden would support the quick aid plan, even if it meant cutting some Democrat priorities, such as supporting local government, congressional news source A Hill reported on Monday. “The elected president fully supports the Speaker and the Leader in their negotiations,” Andrew Bates, a spokesman for the transition, said in a statement.
What keeps the bill?
The House Democrats passed the Health and Economic Recovery Aggregate and Emergency Solutions Act on October 1, but the $ 2.2 trillion bill was resisted by Republican lawmakers.
Among the main differences: Should the federal government help cities and states in a cash situation survive the huge economic blow caused by the pandemic? The crisis, under the worst-case scenario, could cause $ 434 billion in coverage in the federal budget by 2022, which includes a resurgence of the virus and a lack of additional stimulus aid, according to Moody’s Analytics.
The Heroes Act would have provided more than $ 400 billion in support to state and local governments, but Republicans disputed that support, including President Donald Trump, who objected to states he called “democratic rescuers” against Democrat-ruled states. But it is a fact that many Republican government states and cities are facing budget deficits, including Ohio and Texas, the latter plunging into a $ 4.6 billion budget hole.
Democrats and Republicans are still far apart in terms of unemployment benefits, with Democrats calling for the renewal of an additional $ 600 weekly salary under the CARES Act. Republicans have argued that increased unemployment benefits are too generous and deter people from returning to work, despite the lack of economic data to support the debate.
It is all the more certain that millions of households are facing worsening financial problems, which can only worsen if the support and protection of the CARES Act expires at the end of the year.
About 6.7 million peoplein the coming months, a federal eviction moratorium will end on Dec. 31, according to a report by the National Low-Income Housing Coalition and the University of Arizona. This would approach the number of people who lost their homes due to foreclosure during the 2008 financial crisis and subsequent recession.
And nearly 12 million unemployed workers are plannedthe day after Christmas, according to an analysis by The Century Foundation, a progressive think tank. That interruption would cut households ’total income by about $ 19 billion a month, Oxford Economics said on Tuesday, which could potentially cut down on overall consumer spending as the economy slows.
This month, more than 125 economists signed an open letter calling on lawmakers to set aside money to control the incentive.
“Recurring direct payments will help meet the basic needs of families, boost the state and local economy, and accelerate recovery,” the letter wrote. “Cash reaches millions who are struggling economically, including those who are not entitled to unemployment benefits.”